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Degen Show (9/24/21)
Your favorite Degens give you their Sports Bet Picks for 9/24/21. Listen to the Degen’s MLB futures episode or their mulligan after the All Star break.
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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 9/24/21
MLB
SF (-192) at COL (167)
Pitchers: A. Wood (ERA: 4.43 – Road ERA: 4.22 – Avg. ML: -120) vs. P. Lambert (ERA: 0 – Home ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: 0)
Pick: Bet $10 COL
Notes: Peter Lambert will get the start for the Rockies today. The 22-year old has not pitched in the majors in 735 days. Returning from Tommy John surgery, he will make that start today and be welcomed back into the majors by the first place Giants. San Francisco was denied their chance of getting to 100 wins yesterday and I’m hoping they don’t get there today either.
The Rockies may have lost 2 of 3 at home to the Dodgers, but both losses were extra inning losses by a run. This is a team that is 46-29 at home and has consistently paid out when a big dog at home this season.
I know the Giants have had their number this year but if I get big plus lines line this all series, I have to give a look.
$10 bet on Colorado.
TOR (-150) at MIN (138)
Pitchers: J. Berrios (ERA: 3.64 – Road ERA: 3.8 – Avg. ML: -133) vs. B. Ober (ERA: 4.52 – Home ERA: 4.55 – Avg. ML: 108)
Pick: Bet $10 MIN
Notes: Jose Berrios has pitched somewhat better as of late but he has not discovered his ace-like stuff this season. Even after being acquired by the Blue Jays he has been a somewhat inconsistent pitcher. He did manage to get the win against his former team last week – I’m just not sure if he does it again today.
Minnesota has won 3 in a row after taking down Toronto yesterday and as long as Bailey Ober doesn’t completely shit the bed today, I think they have enough of a chance to win today to trigger a bet.
Part of that has to do with Toronto’s pitching as of late – which could put them in jeopardy of missing the playoffs unless it gets right immediately. Granted, their offense has been more than enough to cover this up in most games. But going 5-5 over your last 10 when the other 3 teams you need to leapfrog are 7-3 or better in that span is a clear sign that hitting won’t always get you wins.
$10 bet on the Twins.
Leans
STL (-165) at CHC (145)
Pitchers: J. Happ (ERA: 6.17 – Road ERA: 7.5 – Avg. ML: -107) vs. J. Steele (ERA: 5.48 – Home ERA: 7.42 – Avg. ML: 178)
Pick: Lean STL
PIT (170) at PHI (-200)
Pitchers: S. Howard (ERA: 6.36 – Road ERA: 2.98 – Avg. ML: 133) vs. K. Gibson (ERA: 3.34 – Home ERA: 1.99 – Avg. ML: 111)
Pick: Lean PHI
TEX (-101) at BAL (-107)
Pitchers: S. Howard (ERA: 6.36 – Road ERA: 2.98 – Avg. ML: 133) vs. A. Wells (ERA: 8.89 – Home ERA: 7.88 – Avg. ML: 188)
Pick: Lean BAL
WSH (161) at CIN (-176)
Pitchers: P. Espino (ERA: 4.21 – Road ERA: 6.18 – Avg. ML: 136) vs. S. Gray (ERA: 3.97 – Home ERA: 4.8 – Avg. ML: -109)
Pick: Lean WSH
NYY (-114) at BOS (106)
Pitchers: G. Cole (ERA: 3.07 – Road ERA: 2.96 – Avg. ML: -184) vs. N. Eovaldi (ERA: 3.62 – Home ERA: 2.99 – Avg. ML: -125)
Pick: Lean NYY
CWS (-135) at CLE (115)
Pitchers: D. Cease (ERA: 4.18 – Road ERA: 5.18 – Avg. ML: -125) vs. S. Bieber (ERA: 3.21 – Home ERA: 3.93 – Avg. ML: -153)
Pick: Lean CWS
KC (-106) at DET (-102)
Pitchers: C. Hernandez (ERA: 3.88 – Road ERA: 1 – Avg. ML: 131) vs. C. Mize (ERA: 3.7 – Home ERA: 4.05 – Avg. ML: 139)
Pick: Lean DET
MIA (250) at TB (-333)
Pitchers: E. Cabrera (ERA: 5.57 – Road ERA: 6.25 – Avg. ML: 161) vs. D. Robertson (ERA: 0 – Home ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: 0)
Pick: Lean TB
STL (-192) at CHC (167)
Pitchers: J. Flaherty (ERA: 3.11 – Road ERA: 3.4 – Avg. ML: -115) vs. Z. Davies (ERA: 5.65 – Home ERA: 6.13 – Avg. ML: 118)
Pick: Lean STL
NYM (127) at MIL (-138)
Pitchers: T. Megill (ERA: 4.68 – Road ERA: 4.47 – Avg. ML: -112) vs. E. Lauer (ERA: 2.69 – Home ERA: 2.72 – Avg. ML: -117)
Pick: Lean NYM
SEA (-120) at LAA (100)
Pitchers: L. Gilbert (ERA: 4.9 – Road ERA: 4.71 – Avg. ML: 117) vs. J. Suarez (ERA: 4.49 – Home ERA: 5.03 – Avg. ML: 123)
Pick: Lean SEA
LAD (-214) at ARI (194)
Pitchers: T. Gonsolin (ERA: 2.56 – Road ERA: 3.36 – Avg. ML: -173) vs. H. Castellanos (ERA: 4.82 – Home ERA: 4.39 – Avg. ML: 159)
Pick: Lean LAD
HOU (100) at OAK (-120)
Pitchers: Z. Greinke (ERA: 4.15 – Road ERA: 3.48 – Avg. ML: -144) vs. F. Montas (ERA: 3.64 – Home ERA: 3.57 – Avg. ML: -114)
Pick: Lean HOU
ATL () at SD ()
Pitchers: M. Fried (ERA: 3.38 – Road ERA: 3.53 – Avg. ML: -125) vs. P. Johnson (ERA: 4.5 – Home ERA: 9 – Avg. ML: 126)
Pick: TBD
