Degen Show (9/26/22)

Your favorite Degens give you their Sports Bet Picks for 9/26/22 – including NFL Week 3 Monday Night Football bets and MLB bets. Listen to the Degen’s NBA Totals show, NHL win Totals episode, or MLB win Totals one too.

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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 9/26/22

Sports Bet Picks for 9/26/22

Max’s NFL Week 3 Touchdown

Point 1: Move Over Butt Fumble

All hail the Butt Punt.

The worse punt attempted in the history of football.

The Dolphins managed to overcome a butt punt and a “definitely not a concussion, wink, wink” for Tua to beat the Bills and improve to 3-0 on the season.

The Bills had cut through opponents this season but stumbled against the Dolphins’ defense.

Josh Allen had 400 yards and 2 TDs but it was not enough to take down the Fins.

Allen had a chance to get the Bills into field goal position but Isaiah McKenzie ate up too much clock – leading to time expiring.

Bills’ OC – Ken Dorsey – decided that the butt punt would not be the only great GIF to come from this game.

His slamming of his headset and swiping of papers while other coaches look on in shock will certainly lead to memes for years to come.

Point 2: Fields Doesn’t Belong on a Field

Yeah, the Bears won with a game winning field goal yesterday.

But it was on the back of their defense that grabbed an INT from Davis Mills to setup the field goal.

Justin Fields was 8-17 for 106 yards and 2 INTs.

This season, he has thrown for 121, 70 and 106.

In his 14 games where he attempted more than 10 passes, he has eclipsed 200 yards just 4 times.

He has thrown under 100 yards 4 times.

The Bears are 5-9 in those games.

I think that’s enough of a body of work to say Fields is not suited to be a starter in this league.

Point 3: Dan Campbell Got It Wrong

I hit on the Lions plus the points.

I was tempted to moneyline them and glad I didn’t.

Detroit had Minnesota beat most of that game but Dan Campbell opted to attempt a 54-yarder while his team was up 3.

That’s not playing to win.

He had gone for it on 4th down 6 times that game.

And got it 4 times.

So I would have been happier if he just went for it again and took the heat if that failed.

Or just punt the ball.

Going for the field goal there is just saying he doesn’t want a tie or he’s confident in stopping an extra point if Minnesota scored a TD.

Well, he gave the Vikings great field position and the secondary blew some coverage so the Vikings could complete the comeback.

Jared Goff had another good game.

And this Lions team is competitive.

But there’s not reason they should not have another win on their record this year.

Point 4: The Bienemy of Good Offense

Mahomes took the hit after the game.

During the game, his heated exchange with his OC said something different.

The Chiefs lost their first game of the season and the Colts won their first as Indy beat KC 20-17.

Matty Ice resembled and actual QB for the first time this season and his late drive led the Colts to a comeback win.

But the storyline is about Mahomes and Bienemy co-existing.

Patrick is too nice to push Bienemy out the door.

But hopefully Andy can Reid between the lines and get Bienemy out of there before it impacts Mahomes any sooner.

Point 5: The Mac-Up Plan

Well, the Patriots might need to think of their next QB as Mac Jones left yesterday’s game with what looked to be a significant leg injury.

Jones threw for 321 yards with 3 INTs and no TDs as the Pats lost to the Ravens 37-26 in Foxborough.

Lamar threw for 218 with 4 TDs and 1 INT while also running for 107 yards and 1 TD.

The Patriots sit in last place in the AFC East and with Brian Hoyer and their rookie from Western Kentucky, Bailey Zappe, as their options, it could be the worst season for Belichick since he wore a Browns hoodie.

Point 6: The Bengals are Back

Sure, it was the Jets.

But it’s a Jets team I’ve thought more of this season than prior years.

And Joe Burrow finally looked himself.

He went for 275 yards and 3 TDs as the Bengals downed the Jets 27-12.

Joe Flacco ended his miracle run with a 2 INT performance – cementing the return of Zach Wilson in Week 4.

The Bengals won the turnover battle 4-1 and also had their best 3rd down conversion rate of the season.

Probably a bit too early to crown the Bengals the AFC champs, but with the other AFC kings – KC and Buffalo – losing this week, maybe Wincinnati is ready take over the crown.

Extra Point: 26 points

That’s what legendary QBs Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers combined for in yesterday’s game.

Now granted, they had no one to throw to.

The leading receivers were Romeo Doubs and Russel Gage.

That’s a far cry from Devonte Adams and Mike Evans.

These two teams should be battling it out at the end of the year.

But hopefully they can muster more than a combined 26 fucking points.

And that is Max’s Week 3 touchdown.

 

NFL Week 3 Monday Night Football Bets

Dallas (1) vs. NY Giants (-1)

Spread: Lean Dallas

Total: Lean Over 39

Predicted Score: Dallas 22 – NY Giants 19 (41)

Notes: The Giants look to be one of 3 undefeated teams in the NFL after tonight’s game.

And they have a decent shot at that.

Cooper Rush got his adrenaline boost win last week and now the harsh realities of QBing Dallas will come into clearer view.

He will be on the road in hostile territory and playing a Giants team that does not look like absolute Garbage.

Brian Daboll has this team playing with some competitive edge.

It does not mean they are a good team, by any stretch of the imagination.

But competitive.

They dug out a deficit to beat the Titans in week 1.

They won their home opener last week against the Panthers.

They did that while averaging 20 points per game and an average margin of victory of 2.

There are some positives for sure.

The Giants are 9th in time of possession, 3rd in rushing yards per game, and have a positive turnover ratio.

Where they suffer is on the passing game and on penalties – as they are only ahead of the Bears in passing yards per game and are ranked 21st in penalty yards per game.

The passing part is a concern in this day and age of the NFL.

And puts further question marks on the future of Daniel Jones.

But we just saw Justin Fields, Russell Wilson, and Baker Mayfield lead their teams to wins by throwing for under 200 yards this past week.

So if the Giants can be more disciplined with the penalties, maybe the lack of passing can be balanced out with the solid rushing game.

Still, I have them coming up short in winning this game.

So I’ll need to lean the Cowboys here.

 

MLB Bets

BAL (110) at BOS (-130)

Pick: Bet $10 BAL

Notes: The Orioles will more than likely miss out on the playoffs.

They have a chance to still finish above .500 – which is a hell of a lot better than most people, including myself, thought of this team.

They have not been playing their best baseball as of late, but still managed to take 2 games from the Astros and kept their 2 others really close.

The Red Sox just got swept by the Yankees and now have lost 5 in a row.

Connor Seabold will get the start today and he’s not had a good start to his Red Sox career.

He faces off against Jordan Lyles who has had an up and down season.

Lyles is coming off a complete game win just 5 days ago.

The Orioles have the pitching advantage here, their offense has been better lately and they are getting a plus line.

So a $10 bet on Baltimore.

 

Leans

CIN (124) at PIT (-146)

Pick: Lean CIN

 

ATL (-250) at WSH (205)

Pick: Lean WSH

 

NYY (-102) at TOR (-116)

Pick: Lean NYY

About the Author

Mad Max is a gentle soul who enjoys drinking gin, grooming his beard and betting on sports.

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