Degen Show (9/7/21)

Your favorite Degens give you their Sports Bet Picks for 9/7/21. Listen to the Degen’s MLB futures episode or their mulligan after the All Star break.

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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 9/7/21

MLB

TOR (180) at NYY (-198)

Pitchers: S. Matz (ERA: 3.92 – Road ERA: 3.64 – Avg. ML: -124) vs. G. Cole (ERA: 2.75 – Home ERA: 2.43 – Avg. ML: -179)

Pick: Bet $10 TOR

Notes: At the end of July, the Rays tagged Gerrit Cole for 8 runs in 5.1 innings. Since then, he’s pitched insanely well and has been a big reason the Yankees are vying for a playoff spot. He gets the unenviable task of pitching against a Blue Jays team that is 7^th in runs scored the past month and batting .260 in that same span – good for 8^th in the league.

The Yankees haven’t been too shabby offensively either and will face off against near elite Steven Matz. Matz has had a great season and gives the Jays a chance to hold their own against the Yankees

And with the big plus line here, I am going to back Matz and the Jays to steal one today.

$10 bet on Toronto.

 

TB (-107) at BOS (-101)

Pitchers: D. Rasmussen (ERA: 2.37 – Road ERA: 3.27 – Avg. ML: -117) vs. E. Rodriguez (ERA: 5.37 – Home ERA: 6.27 – Avg. ML: -115)

Pick: Bet $10 TB

Notes: It was a wild comeback by the Rays yesterday and this final series with the Red Sox should be filled with some more wild stuff. Unless Boston can make it into the playoffs, these next two games will be the last 2 times these 2 teams play this season.

The Rays have the season series lead over the Sox – which is surprising since Boston started the season so hot and won the first 4 games against Tampa this year. But it’s a testament to how well the Rays have played down the stretch and how the Red Sox have wilted a bit.

Drew Rasmussen will get the start today and he’s been very good in providing extended opens for the Rays – going 4-5 innings his last few starts. Maybe he settles into a traditional starter role and can put more innings out there today.

Eduardo Rodriguez has had an up and down season but is coming off a great game against the Rays last week. His August was clearly his best month – settling in to a 3.33 ERA in that span.

Still, I like Tampa to get another win today and frustrate Rodriguez this go around.

$10 bet on the Rays.

 

SEA (148) at HOU (-162)

Pitchers: L. Gilbert (ERA: 5.35 – Road ERA: 5.4 – Avg. ML: 119) vs. J. Odorizzi (ERA: 4.66 – Home ERA: 4.26 – Avg. ML: -126)

Pick: Bet $10 SEA

Notes: Well, I missed on Seattle yesterday and time to chase some waterfalls. I really thought the Mariners’ game to win was yesterday. 11 runs later I could see that I was wrong. But today is the day! Jake Odorizzi has pitched well against Seattle in his last starts against them but I think they get to him today.

Logan Gilbert is coming off a solid start – after shitting the bed for a month – and hopefully he doesn’t repeat yesterday’s Seattle pitching performance.

$10 bet on the Mariners.

 

Leans

MIN (130) at CLE (-141)

Pitchers: J. Gant (ERA: 4.4 – Road ERA: 4.27 – Avg. ML: 121) vs. A. Civale (ERA: 3.41 – Home ERA: 3.36 – Avg. ML: -109)

Pick: Lean CLE

 

DET () at PIT ()

Pitchers: W. Peralta (ERA: 3.87 – Road ERA: 4.58 – Avg. ML: 143) vs. M. Keller (ERA: 6.4 – Home ERA: 8.63 – Avg. ML: 150)

Pick: TBD

 

NYM (-159) at MIA (146)

Pitchers: C. Carrasco (ERA: 6.7 – Road ERA: 4.95 – Avg. ML: 117) vs. E. Cabrera (ERA: 5.35 – Home ERA: 4.43 – Avg. ML: 137)

Pick: Lean NYM

 

KC (-108) at BAL (18)

Pitchers: J. Kowar (ERA: 9.86 – Road ERA: 55.38 – Avg. ML: 102) vs. A. Wells (ERA: 9.51 – Home ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: 206)

Pick: Lean KC

 

WSH (203) at ATL (-225)

Pitchers: P. Espino (ERA: 4.45 – Road ERA: 5.41 – Avg. ML: 135) vs. M. Fried (ERA: 3.59 – Home ERA: 3.28 – Avg. ML: -122)

Pick: Lean ATL

 

PHI (-108) at MIL (-101)

Pitchers: A. Nola (ERA: 4.66 – Road ERA: 5.69 – Avg. ML: -128) vs. E. Lauer (ERA: 3.06 – Home ERA: 3.27 – Avg. ML: -112)

Pick: Lean PHI

 

CIN (-157) at CHC (145)

Pitchers: W. Miley (ERA: 3 – Road ERA: 3.08 – Avg. ML: -107) vs. A. Sampson (ERA: 2.25 – Home ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: 284)

Pick: Lean CHC

 

LAD () at STL ()

Pitchers: Undecided (ERA: 0 – Road ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: 0) vs. J. Happ (ERA: 6.37 – Home ERA: 5.39 – Avg. ML: -110)

Pick: TBD

 

SF (-208) at COL (189)

Pitchers: L. Webb (ERA: 2.61 – Road ERA: 3.46 – Avg. ML: -102) vs. C. Gonzalez (ERA: 6.28 – Home ERA: 5.81 – Avg. ML: 157)

Pick: Lean COL

 

CWS (114) at OAK (-134)

Pitchers: J. Lambert (ERA: 8.44 – Road ERA: 8.44 – Avg. ML: -109) vs. J. Kaprielian (ERA: 3.95 – Home ERA: 2.44 – Avg. ML: -121)

Pick: Lean CWS

 

TEX (148) at ARI (-162)

Pitchers: S. Howard (ERA: 5.91 – Road ERA: 3.35 – Avg. ML: 122) vs. Z. Gallen (ERA: 4.45 – Home ERA: 4.67 – Avg. ML: 141)

Pick: Lean TEX

 

LAA (250) at SD (-303)

Pitchers: P. Naughton (ERA: 8.44 – Road ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: 229) vs. B. Snell (ERA: 4.42 – Home ERA: 2.53 – Avg. ML: -127)

Pick: Lean LAA