Degen Show Part (6/1/21)

Your favorite Degens give you their Sports Bet Picks for 6/1/21. Listen to the Degen’s NBA win totals episode, their MLB futures episode and Max’s NHL Power rankings post.

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Max’s Sports Bet Picks for 6/1/21

NBA

 

BOS (12) at BKN (-12)

Pick: Lean BOS

Total: 231.5 (Lean Under – 222)

Predicted Score: BOS 107 – BKN 115

Notes: After dropping 39 points, stomping on the Celtics logo and getting a plastic bottle tossed at his head, Kyrie Irving will be glad to be back to Brooklyn to close out the series against his former team.

It’s odd saying that Boston was his former team. In the short time he played there, I vaguely recall him playing. He certainly didn’t play meaningful playoff minutes for the Celtics like he is now for Brooklyn.

The Nets are the better team. They have more star players and a deeper bench. The fact that Boston didn’t get swept is my saving grace. That and the outstanding play of Jayson Tatum. I’m hoping he drops 70 tonight. Boston would still probably lose by 30.

A lean on Boston here with the points.

 

POR (2) at DEN (-2)

Pick: Lean POR

Total: 226 (Lean Over – 227)

Predicted Score: POR 113 – DEN 114

Notes: Portland got a big win in game 4 to tie up the series. This has been the only series so far that has been entertaining each game.

If Denver was healthy, maybe they’d have more of an edge. But as it stands, this remains a coin flip of a series. I flipped the coin today and it said Denver wins but doesn’t cover.

Really, I have this as a 1-point game. So seriously, flip a coin and enjoy a good game.

 

LAL (5) at PHX (-5)

Pick: Bet $15 PHX ML (-192)

Total: 207 (Lean Over – 208)

Predicted Score: LAL 102 – PHX 106

Notes: I hit on the Suns on Sunday mostly because I knew Anthony Davis’ knee was acting up and I had a feeling that he wouldn’t be 100%. Without him, the Lakers are sunk. And from what I can see, he is “iffy” for today. Chris Paul played 32 minutes in the last game and looked good in scoring 18 and dishing out 9 assists.

I feel like I need a new Excel to calculate the IF statement in this game but here you go. If Chris Paul is missing from the Suns, they can’t win, however, if Anthony Davis is out for the Lakers, they can’t win, and the Suns without Chris Paul could still beat them. Following?

$15 ML bet on the Suns.

 

NHL

 

Tampa Bay Lightning (-101) at Carolina Hurricanes (-110)

Pick: Bet $20 Carolina

Notes: Tampa Bay took game 1 and has no secured home ice in this series. A win tonight could essentially end the series. I could not fathom a world in which that happens.

That said, I could not fathom a world where the Canadiens would win 3 in a row and knock the Maple Leafs out of the playoffs.

Game 1 was a close one and I imagine we will see most games in this series as being close. Just look at the lines from Vegas to show you how close. Tampa is taking advantage of an incredible hot streak by their goalie.

And if Carolina has any chance in this series, they need to hope that Vasilevskiy cracks a few times. That’s my hope for tonight. $20 bet on the Hurricanes.

 

MLB

 

CWS (131) at CLE (-142)

Pitchers: D. Cease (ERA: 3.12 – Road ERA: 4.86 – Avg. ML: -104) vs. S. Bieber (ERA: 3.02 – Home ERA: 3.32 – Avg. ML: -148)

Pick: Bet $15 CWS

Notes: Shane Justin Bieber is coming off a great start but that Cleveland offense still has some major issues. These two teams split a doubleheader yesterday and the Indians were able to put up some runs. But the White Sox have more of a chance to score and with this plus line – even against Bieber – I like the value with them today.

 

MIA (135) at TOR (-146)

Pitchers: S. Alcantara (ERA: 3.5 – Road ERA: 5.36 – Avg. ML: 107) vs. R. Ray (ERA: 3.57 – Home ERA: 2.47 – Avg. ML: 111)

Pick: Bet $15 MIA

Notes: Robbie Ray has had a nice season but the Marlins will look to snap a 3-game losing streak by taking it to him today. The Marlins are not very good on the road – but the Blue Jays don’t even have a home. I like the value with Miami today.

 

BOS (113) at HOU (-122)

Pitchers: G. Richards (ERA: 3.94 – Road ERA: 2.56 – Avg. ML: -106) vs. L. Garcia (ERA: 3.26 – Home ERA: 2.13 – Avg. ML: -112)

Pick: Bet $15 HOU

Notes: I hit on Houston yesterday and I am going to double dip today. Garcia has been sensational at home this year and the Houston bats feasted on Boston yesterday. I just hope they have some hits left for today’s game.

 

TEX (104) at COL (-113)

Pitchers: D. Dunning (ERA: 4.85 – Road ERA: 8.35 – Avg. ML: 122) vs. G. Marquez (ERA: 4.21 – Home ERA: 4.97 – Avg. ML: 115)

Pick: Bet $15 TEX

Notes: A shitty match-up here but Colorado has been able to remain competitive at home this season. Dunning has been shelled on the road and should give up some runs at Coors field. But I still like Texas to put up some runs today too and sneak out a win.

 

Leans

MIN (-170) at BAL (156)

Pitchers: M. Pineda (ERA: 2.65 – Road ERA: 2.67 – Avg. ML: -119) vs. B. Zimmermann (ERA: 5.9 – Home ERA: 5.7 – Avg. ML: 141)

Pick: Lean MIN

 

TB (-118) at NYY (109)

Pitchers: T. Glasnow (ERA: 2.62 – Road ERA: 3.61 – Avg. ML: -146) vs. D. German (ERA: 3.1 – Home ERA: 4.66 – Avg. ML: -136)

Pick: Lean TB

 

PHI (-103) at CIN (-105)

Pitchers: A. Nola (ERA: 3.77 – Road ERA: 5 – Avg. ML: -140) vs. S. Gray (ERA: 3.62 – Home ERA: 3.4 – Avg. ML: -104)

Pick: Lean CIN

 

WSH (123) at ATL (-134)

Pitchers: S. Strasburg (ERA: 4.48 – Road ERA: 15.75 – Avg. ML: -119) vs. M. Fried (ERA: 4.63 – Home ERA: 3.91 – Avg. ML: -131)

Pick: Lean ATL

 

DET (146) at MIL (-159)

Pitchers: M. Boyd (ERA: 3.5 – Road ERA: 4.66 – Avg. ML: 140) vs. E. Lauer (ERA: 1.59 – Home ERA: 0.82 – Avg. ML: 154)

Pick: Lean MIL

 

SD (-103) at CHC (-105)

Pitchers: R. Weathers (ERA: 1.48 – Road ERA: 0 – Avg. ML: -111) vs. K. Hendricks (ERA: 4.71 – Home ERA: 4.94 – Avg. ML: -118)

Pick: Lean CHC

 

PIT (168) at KC (-184)

Pitchers: W. Crowe (ERA: 5.52 – Road ERA: 4.2 – Avg. ML: 147) vs. B. Singer (ERA: 5.11 – Home ERA: 4.25 – Avg. ML: 105)

Pick: Lean KC

 

NYM (-111) at ARI (103)

Pitchers: M. Stroman (ERA: 2.48 – Road ERA: 2.75 – Avg. ML: -126) vs. C. Smith (ERA: 9 – Home ERA: n/a – Avg. ML: 181)

Pick: Lean NYM

 

LAA (149) at SF (-163)

Pitchers: A. Heaney (ERA: 5.47 – Road ERA: 4.43 – Avg. ML: -115) vs. A. Wood (ERA: 2.36 – Home ERA: 1.8 – Avg. ML: -103)

Pick: Lean SF

 

STL (164) at LAD (-180)

Pitchers: J. Gant (ERA: 1.83 – Road ERA: 1.13 – Avg. ML: 114) vs. Undecided

Pick: Lean LAD

 

OAK (-158) at SEA (145)

Pitchers: C. Bassitt (ERA: 3.25 – Road ERA: 3.48 – Avg. ML: -110) vs. M. Gonzales (ERA: 8.34 – Home ERA: 7.5 – Avg. ML: 116)

Pick: Lean OAK